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Fannie Mae's new mortgage guidelines rightfully scrutinize buyers and owners of condominiums.
Since late-2007, mortgage markets have a new emphasis on collateral, or the value of the underlying property, and in a condo building, collateral can be wiped out for reasons beyond the borrower's control:
However, just because condos are more "at-risk" than other property types doesn't mean that Fannie Mae should lump all condominium buildings together.
New construction condos in 2008 pose much less tisk to lenders than those of 2005 and what Fannie Mae is doing is equivalent to swearing off California Zinfandel forever just because 2005 was a crap year.
The 2008 Condo Vintage should produce much different results from the 2005 Condo Vintage, but, unfortunately, mortgage lenders plan to treat them both the same.
The biggest reason why 2008 condo mortgages will be different is because today's average condo buyer hurdles over lending guidelines that 2005 buyers never had to consider, including:
And then, lenders are applying harsher title regulations, new seller concession rules and strict appraisal review requirements to every mortgage approval -- safeguards which did not exist in 2005.
And lastly, the cherry on top: mortgage products. Over the last few years:
Therefore, almost nobody in today's new construction condo buildings has a mortgage adjusting prior to 2013.
Fannie's new, stricter condo guidelines is bad news for new construction buyers because it unfairly lumps their home loans with poorly-performing assets. There's a well-known saying about babies and bathwater.
Over the next 2 years, loan performance attached to Housing Heyday Condos is expected to deteriorate and then should start to show improvement because the "new" home loans in the building will be subscribed to the "stricter" mortgage guidelines.
As an action item, if you live in one of these building and know you'll need a new mortgage prior to 2010, consider getting that mortgage today. Joining the 2008 Vintage, after all, should be less restrictive than waiting to see what the 2009 or 2010 Vintage will look like.
Borrowing for condos should get harder before it gets easier and as stories like this one (no relation!) repeat themselves around the country, lenders will tighten up to protect themselves -- even as the Vintage that led to these situations is from last year's soil.
Dan Green (NMLS #227607) is an active loan officer with Waterstone Mortgage. Email Dan ator call 513-443-2020.
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