According to a Fannie Mae survey, just 9% of U.S. consumers believe home prices will drop between now and 2015; with an average expectation that values will rise more than 3 percent nationwide.
The survey is the latest in a series of signals signaling a shift in consumer attitudes.
Each month, Fannie Mae conducts a National Housing Survey. The agency speaks with 1,000 households nationwide about the state of the U.S. housing market.
Survey results from December show consumers overwhelmingly bullish on the future of housing with 67% of those surveyed said now is "a good time to buy a home".
It's easy to understand why respondents are optimistic. As compared to one year ago, home values in many U.S. cities are up ten percentage points or more versus last year, with some areas seeing growth of 20% or more.
The housing market's recovery has been national news.
Hard-hit cities during last decade's downturn have led this decade's rebound. Phoenix, Arizona and San Francisco, California are two notable markets in which single-family home values have climbed twenty-plus percent. Condos are faring even better.
A sampling of recent statistics demonstrates how much U.S. housing has improved.
Furthermore, mortgage rates remain low.
Fewer U.S. homeowners are underwater on their homes and 33% believe now is "a good time to sell" their home, up from the low-20s one year ago.
Among the questions asked in the December 2013 Fannie Mae Housing Survey was "Do you expect mortgage rates to go up, go down, or stay the same in the next 12 months?"
Just 4 percent of those surveyed expect today's mortgage rates to drop. This may be another reason why such a large percentage of respondents said "now is a good time to buy a home".
When mortgage rates rise, buyers can afford "less home" and, for every 1 percentage point increase above today's rates go, a buyer's maximum purchase price declines 11%.
Rising mortgages rates, therefore, often mean the difference between buying a 4-bedroom home or three-bedroom home; with 3-bathroom home or a two-bathroom one. In many markets, rising mortgage rates can mean the difference between living in a top-rated school district or a second-tier one.
Rising rates may hurt more than usual this year, though, because renting is getting more costly.
Thankfully, low- and no-downpayment mortgage programs such as the USDA 100% mortgage program, the FHA 96.5% mortgage, and the no-downpayment mortgage for military borrowers are readily available.
It may be more costly to own a home in 2014, but buyers can expect to put very little down, if needed.
For today's home buyers, an improving economy helping to raise home prices and U.S. mortgage rates, both of which contribute to rising homeownership costs.
Part of planning for your future home purchase is to get today's rates, and to know how much home you can actually afford. Get today's rates now and consider a free, no-obligation pre-approval. It helps to get a bank's opinion.
The information contained on The Mortgage Reports website is for informational purposes only and is not an advertisement for products offered by Full Beaker. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not reflect the policy or position of Full Beaker, its officers, parent, or affiliates.
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2015 Conforming, FHA, & VA Loan Limits
Mortgage loan limits for every U.S. county, as published by Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA)