Quantifying the Bloodbath
Posted on January 29, 2007
Filed under Fed Funds Rate, Mortgage-Backed Securities
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Thanks for visiting The Mortgage Reports. To stay absolutely current on mortgage markets and important guideline changes, be sure to take my free daily email alerts.
If you are looking for some hard data that shows why mortgage rates "took the elevator" up last week, here are some statistics to amaze your friends:
- Mortgage-backed securities lost 84 basis points over 5 days
- Fed Futures currently price a greater chance that the Fed will raise the FFR in May than it will lower it
- Since January 5, the Fannie Mae 30-Year 5.5% bond closed worse on 81% of trading days and has worsened in pricing by 146 basis points
- Since December 5, the same bond has been down on 23 of 36 days, or 63.89% of the time
If we look back at my posts from around December 5 -- the date that rates began to worsen on the whole -- we see a lot of talk about weakness in the economy and dangerous technical patterns.
My, how quickly things can change.
Dan Green is an active loan officer. Email or call 513-443-2020. Dan is on Twitter at @mortgagereports.

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