Posts discussing MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates and markets change constantly. Stay 100% current by taking The Mortgage Reports by email each day. Click here to get free email alerts, or subscribe to the RSS feed in your browser.

19Jan2012
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
Mortgage Rates : Rapid Rise Likely In The Coming Months Thumbnail

Mortgage Rates : Rapid Rise Likely In The Coming Months

Mortgage rates are low because of 4 forces, each in place since 2009. Today, those forces fade into history. When they're gone, so will low mortgage rates. Read why mortgage rates are positioned to rise, and rise sharply.

Read More
07Dec2011
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
After 5 Weeks Of “No Change”, Mortgage Rates Ready To Rocket Higher Thumbnail

After 5 Weeks Of “No Change”, Mortgage Rates Ready To Rocket Higher

The mortgage market is loaded up with 3 years of negative expectations. And, once those forces reverse, they'll reverse quickly, sending mortgage rates soaring. It's time to execute on that mortgage plan. Rates are poised to rise.

Read More
26Oct2011
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
Are Banks Holding Today’s Mortgage Rates Artificially High? Thumbnail

Are Banks Holding Today’s Mortgage Rates Artificially High?

Mortgage rates are ultra-low these days, but they ought to be lower. Mortgage lenders may be holding mortgage rates artificially high.

Read More
09Feb2011
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
Mortgage Rates Reach A Milestone; Rise For The 7th Straight Day Thumbnail

Mortgage Rates Reach A Milestone; Rise For The 7th Straight Day

Mortgage rates are getting slaughtered this month; rising every day since January ended. It's an historic losing streak for conventional mortgage rates.

Read More
22Nov2010
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
It Just So Happens, Mortgage Rates Don’t Rise And Fall Like “They” Say Thumbnail

It Just So Happens, Mortgage Rates Don’t Rise And Fall Like “They” Say

There's an old adage in the mortgage business: "Rates take the stairs down, and the elevator up." It's supposed to mean that mortgage rates go up faster than they come down. It's practically gospel among the older crowd. Turns out, though, it's completely false.

Read More
09Jun2009
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
Be Ready For The Next Dip In Mortgage Rates BEFORE It Happens Thumbnail

Be Ready For The Next Dip In Mortgage Rates BEFORE It Happens

Forget about that 4.500 percent, 0-point mortgage rate you passed on last month. It's gone. Today, conforming mortgage rates are bearing down on 6 percent. For a homeowner in Cincinnati with a $300,000, fixed-rate home loan, the impact is huge. Since the unofficial start of summer, rising mortgage rates have added $240 to a monthly mortgage payment.

Read More
11Mar2009
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

What Is Mark-To-Market Accounting And What Does It Mean To Mortgage Rates?

If you've never heard of mark-to-market accounting, you're not alone. It's an accounting method so dually complex and arcane that unless you need it in the day-to-day functions of your job, you'd look at its description and be, like, "whatever".

Read More
14Oct2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
Mortgage Rates And 10-Year Treasury Rates Don’t Move In Lockstep Thumbnail

Mortgage Rates And 10-Year Treasury Rates Don’t Move In Lockstep

Mortgage bond markets are signaling a slight return to risk this morning. If you're watching the wrong market indicators, though, you probably didn't get the memo. Looking at the chart above, we see that as of 9:02 AM ET: Mortgage-backed securities are improved by 28 basis points 10-year U.S. treasury...

Read More
16Sep2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

How Mortgage Rates Are Responding To Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, And AIG

After writing yesterday's blog post, my ThinkPad went blue. Cue the video above. It's a shame because the post went deep on Wall Street's recent troubles and how each piece of bad news actually helps everyday homeowners. When I went to publish, the post vanished. And by that point, markets...

Read More
19Aug2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

More Evidence That You Can’t Use The 10-Year Treasury Note As A Gauge For Mortgage Rates

For years, people unfamiliar with the mortgage industry have said that the government's 10-year treasury note is a reasonable proxy for mortgage rates. This is flat out wrong. The only security that matters to mortgage rates is the price of a mortgage-backed bond. The chart at right supports this idea....

Read More
11Jul2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
The Disassociation Between Mortgage Rates And The 10-Year Treasury Note Thumbnail

The Disassociation Between Mortgage Rates And The 10-Year Treasury Note

This chart may read like gibberish, so I notated it. It's meant to illustrate that daily mortgage rates are not based on the yield of the 10-Year Treasury Note. Sure, there is a long-term correlation between the two, but "long-term" doesn't do us any good when we're looking to lock...

Read More
02Jul2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
Getting Mortgage Rates Clues From The Stock Market Thumbnail

Getting Mortgage Rates Clues From The Stock Market

The trend is still holding, so to hammer the point home: to know what mortgage rates are doing lately, just check the stock market. As stocks go down, mortgage rates go down As stocks go up, mortgage rates go up This is not a long-term, direct relationship by any means...

Read More
30Jun2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

How To Track Mortgage Rates Using The Stock Market (This Week)

Home buyers and other people in the market for a new mortgage should be thanking the Fed right now. In its post-meeting press release last week, the Federal Open Market Commitee made a few choice statements about the economy that helped mortgage rates fall for the first time in 6...

Read More
09Jun2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

Why Even “The Gamblers” Are Asking To Lock Mortgage Rates As Early As Possible

If you look at mortgage rates today and compare them to January's numbers, not much has changed: 30-year fixed: Still hovering near 6 percent 7-year ARM: Still lower than 30-year fixed rates 5-year ARM: Still lower than 7-year ARM rates But on a day-to-day basis, the market is not as...

Read More
07Jan2008
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

What Will Happen To Mortgage Rates When The U.S. Dollar Strengthens

Broadly, mortgage rates fell in 2007. It's befuddling because there are two major reasons why mortgage rates should have increased in 2007: The U.S. dollar took a precipitous decline against world currencies, devaluing mortgage bonds Inflation ran beyond the top of the Fed's comfort zone for most of the year,...

Read More
29Aug2007
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

Foreign Nationals: Today’s Sign That Liquidity May Be Returning To The Market

I am working with a Dublin-based real estate developer, providing Irish real estate investors with mortgages for United States-based properties. A project on which we are currently working has been interesting in context of how the mortgage market is changing. When we started work on this Chicago-based condo building, the...

Read More
22Aug2007
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

The Majority of Americans Can Still Get Loans (And Eat Their Bread)

Most American homeowners: Live in homes whose loan sizes are less than $417,000 Own one home and call it a primary residence Can document their income using W-2 statements and/or tax returns Have at least a modest savings account Have at least the average credit score of 678 Do not...

Read More
17Aug2007
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
To Know Where Mortgage Rates Are Moving, Watch The Proper Indicators Thumbnail

To Know Where Mortgage Rates Are Moving, Watch The Proper Indicators

If you're a first-time reader, here's the first thing you get to learn at The Mortgage Reports: Mortgage interest rates are determined by the price of mortgage bonds. Nothing else, nothing more. If mortgage bond prices are down, mortgage rates will be higher. If mortgage bond prices are up, mortgage...

Read More
15Aug2007
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates

How Sub-Prime and Alt-A Mortgage Markets Are Behaving Like NFL Draft Picks

Did you see the BNP Paribas press release last week that said it's halting withdrawals from some of its funds? My favorite part is how blunt the first sentence is below (bold added for emphasis): "The complete evaporation of liquidity in certain market segments of the US securitisation market has...

Read More
13Aug2007
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
MBS Markets and Mortgage Rates
What Trader Joe’s And Yogurt Taught Me About Home Loan Scarcity Thumbnail

What Trader Joe’s And Yogurt Taught Me About Home Loan Scarcity

A favorite question from my clients is "Should I lock my mortgage rate, or should I float my mortgage rate?" I am firmly in the "Lock Now" camp and have written about this more than a few times. My standard answer to the questions has lately taken a different spin,...

Read More