21Aug2008
Dan Green
Author
Dan Green
Filed Under
Rate Surveys

Bankrate.com Mortgage Trend Index (August 21, 2008)

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Bankrate.com rate trend surveyI am a regular participant in the Bankrate.com Mortgage Rate Trend survey and this week's survey is now available.

As a reminder:

  1. The survey is for conforming loans only.
  2. I welcome personal emails about purchase or refinance plans.
  3. I twitter market updates a few times daily.  Follow me.

Anyway, on to the group's predictions for the next 30 days:

  • 29% of participants predict rates will increase
  • 21% of participants predict rates will decrease
  • 50% of participants predict rates will remain unchanged

I am predicting that rates will increase over the next 30 days, but that doesn't mean you should necessarily follow my advice when choosing whether to lock a rate, or float it.  My advice may not be appropriate for your individual situation.

From the Bankrate.com survey:

"As the risk premium of Fannie and Freddie's debt increases, mortgage rates follow."

What's risk premium, you ask?  It's the extra rate of return that Wall Street requires from a company because investors fear for their money.  The chart we showed earlier this week should clarify.

If government debt is considered guaranteed, you'll see, mortgage-backed debt is getting farther and farther away from guaranteed, day by day.

Dan Green
Author
Dan Green

About the Author

Dan Green (NMLS #227607) is an active loan officer with Waterstone Mortgage. Email Dan ator click to get a free, no-obligation rate quote.

You can also find Dan on Twitter and Google+.