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Mortgage Rates Are Not As Low As Newspapers Are Reporting

Posted on October 13, 2009
Filed under On Mortgage Rate Movement
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Freddie Mac PMMS survey is outdated at the moment it is publishedThursday, Freddie Mac published its weekly mortgage market survey.

The report showed 30-year fixed mortgage rates sub-5 percent, near all-time lows.  Versus October 2008, they're down 1.07%.

The press was eager to report a story like this -- mostly because anytime mortgage rates below 5.000 percent, it makes for good copy.

But for rate shoppers in Cincinnati and Chicago, by the time Friday's business section was delivered, the Freddie Mac survey was woefully out-of-date.  Mortgage rates had already started to rise on a series of newsworthy notes:

  • Australia lifted its interest rates, the first major economy to make a move like that
  • Members of the Federal Reserve hinted that the Fed may raise rates soon
  • Concerns of inflation crept back into the Wall Street psyche

Combined, these elements led to a furious mortgage market sell-off so that by 4:00 PM ET Friday, mortgage rates were posting 3/8 higher than what Freddie Mac said they should be.

Rate shoppers get angry when stuff like that happens.  And, it seems to happen a lot.

Weekly surveys like the Freddie Mac report are good for watching long-term trends in mortgage rates, but they stink for when you need immediate "Lock or Float" advice. Remember, mortgage rates change every few hours so rate surveys are often "stale" before they're even published.

One easy (and free) way to track what's happening with mortgage rates is to fan my Facebook page and/or follow me on Twitter. I post markest updates several times per day and often alert before rates get worse.

From the time I advise to lock rates, you'll generally have less than 15 minutes to contact your lender and commit.  If you've already got a loan application on file, that's plenty of time to execute the trade.

If you don't have an application on file, though, or have trouble reaching your loan officer at a moment's notice, your chances of locking the rate drop dramatically.  It takes time to give an application, issue an approval, and position for locking.  It can take even more time for a lender to check his voicemails and return a call.

Mortgage rates wait for nobody.

I monitor and lock mortgage rates for my clients and do it with an automated system. If you're not getting the service you want or expect from your current lender, call or . I'll manage your rate lock for you and can probably save you some money in the process, too.


Dan Green is an active loan officer. Email or call 513-443-2020. Dan is on Twitter at @mortgagereports.

Tags: Freddie Mac, Inflation, mortgage rates

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